Member Since: 02 Jul 2014
Location: Sunny Devon
Posts: 1759
New Disco 5 impact on D4 prices ?
Hi all just window shopping on a dark and wet winters afternoon and I wonder if anyone has a crystal ball and would like to speculate on what will happen to D4 prices and will this then trickle down to the D3 models ?
cheers
MZminiLand Rover 90 - deceased
Discovery 3 - deceased
Discovery 4 2013
Mini Cooper S 1964 Mk1 - International Rally winner red & white
Mini Cooper s 1964 Mk1 - Road Rally champion green & white
Mini Cooper S 1971 Mk3 - original and unrestored
Porsche 911 997
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VW Polo 1.2
Citroen Xsara Picasso - shed/run around
10th Jan 2016 7:01 pm
Red Merle
Member Since: 30 Aug 2014
Location: Liskeard
Posts: 7441
Going by Land Rover's recent form in product launches (particularly with the FL2 to DS launch recently), expect the less expensive versions of the old car to disappear first (they've done that for the D4 already), followed by steep cost increases with the new car. Combine these steep cost increases with a move away from many of the design features that attracted people to the old car in the first place and expect the used prices of D4's to remain firm for at least the first 12 months. It certainly happened with the FL2.
As for the D3, that's probably harder to say as it sits in a different bit of the market. Expect its value to fall only after the value of D4's have declined to match current D3 prices.2011 - 2015: 3 x FL2
2015 - 2017: 2 x D4
2017 to date: FFRR SDV8
2023 to date: 2 x FL2 as “second” cars 🙄
2021 to date: Hinckley built ‘14 Triumph Trophy 1200
2022 to date: Hinckley built ‘14 Triumph Trophy 1200 & sidecar!
(One of only two known to exist in the world!)
10th Jan 2016 7:27 pm
Disco_Mikey
Member Since: 29 May 2007
Location: Dundee, Scotland
Posts: 20853
Early D3 are as cheap as they ever will be for the foreseeable. Late D3 will take a fair drop
D4 prices I expect will take a hit, but not as big as late D3's will suffer.My D3 Build Thread
Member Since: 12 Dec 2005
Location: The Gaff
Posts: 50979
As was seen with D2 to D3... D3 to D4 prices didn't fall of a cliff .....I anticipate that there will still be strong demand for late D4's for a while after the D5 appears 21 year LR veteran > D2 GS 2003 > D3 S 2006 > D3 HSE 2009 > D4 HSE 2013 > D4 HSE 2015 > D5 HSE 2018 > DS HSE R-Dynamic P300e 2021
10th Jan 2016 7:51 pm
J77
Member Since: 03 Mar 2008
Location: Fife
Posts: 6270
The D4 prices should stay strong if their is demand for an old school style LR.23.5MY Defender 90 X-Dynamic SE D250 MHEV Pangea Green
10th Jan 2016 7:57 pm
fishinmad
Member Since: 30 Jan 2012
Location: St Ives
Posts: 877
There will always be a demand for a clean LR that works amongst the rural community, my guess they will bottom out at 10 years old at £5k-£6k and no lower. Any good clean Disco2, Defender still goes for that sort of money as still used/useful on the farm, shooting, fishing, pulling horse boxes etc
I have just bought a BMW M3 Cabrio (mid life crisis car) it is one of the last of the V8's made with v high spec it originally cost £72K, I picked it up for less than £35k 18 months old with 20k on the clock from BMW main dealer. This drop was caused by the new M4 (straight 6 twin turn which i didn't want). I doubt if LR's will see anything like that.Club Narpy Torch
“No return to boom and bust†Gordon Brown when chancellor
He has been proved right, now there is only bust!
10th Jan 2016 8:01 pm
D4Comm
Member Since: 08 Dec 2007
Location: Suffolk
Posts: 317
Hoping the D4 Commercial will hold its value, as there won't be a D5 Commercial, so its the end of an era for these.11 RR 4.4 TDV8
15 D4 Comm SDV6
58 RR 3.6 TDV8 (Gone)
12 D4 Comm SDV6 (Gone)
08 D3 Comm TDV6 (Gone)
54 D2 Comm TD5 (Gone)
11th Jan 2016 8:22 pm
fat bloke
Member Since: 07 Aug 2006
Location: OXFORD
Posts: 1257
Looking at the last batch of D2, prices they are eclipsing D3 prices seen one low milage over £10k some are around £7/9k.
11th Jan 2016 8:53 pm
lynalldiscovery
Member Since: 22 Dec 2009
Location: Maidstone
Posts: 7274
Guy at work just sold his old D2 for 950 quid with mot.
Im sure most D2 will rot away just like the D1 has.
D3 bit of a game changer in that area.
11th Jan 2016 9:22 pm
Disco_Mikey
Member Since: 29 May 2007
Location: Dundee, Scotland
Posts: 20853
You say that. Starting to see some pretty ropey ones now...My D3 Build Thread
Member Since: 03 Oct 2014
Location: Pwllheli
Posts: 3976
A quick look at D2 prices on the bay and trader and overall the prices are no higher than they were 16 months ago when I sold mine. And as then I think anything over £5-6,000 is speculative, indeed if you search on sold Discoverys £5-10000 there are only 3 D2s and the dearest was £5,500.==================================
05 D3 HSE V8 4.4
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02 MG TF 160
00 Hymer B564 Lionheart
1971 Series III 109
11th Jan 2016 9:46 pm
Apache
Member Since: 16 Oct 2011
Location: Yorkshire
Posts: 692
D4Comm wrote:
Hoping the D4 Commercial will hold its value, as there won't be a D5 Commercial, so its the end of an era for these.
Why no D5 commercial? Is that official?
11th Jan 2016 10:42 pm
D4Comm
Member Since: 08 Dec 2007
Location: Suffolk
Posts: 317
So I'm told, which is why I recently got a new one. Last order date for a D4 Comm. is 31st March.
The D5 is going to elevate the Discovery to another league and I don't think LR want it de valued by a Commercial model. Dealer told me that the Defender line up will cater for a Discovery Commercial replacement.11 RR 4.4 TDV8
15 D4 Comm SDV6
58 RR 3.6 TDV8 (Gone)
12 D4 Comm SDV6 (Gone)
08 D3 Comm TDV6 (Gone)
54 D2 Comm TD5 (Gone)
12th Jan 2016 7:28 am
Kilovolt
Member Since: 29 Jun 2015
Location: South Derbyshire
Posts: 1079
No D5 Commercial Expected
I cancelled my new D4 Commercial due 1st March because the 3 year old one I have now is mint (see avatar in understanding mint).
Reason for cancelling in the first place: Ordered for 1st March 2015 and it turned up 1st Nov 2014
Reason given: Downturn in Chinese markets has brought production dates forward.
I thought keep this for another year (with LR warranty) and see how the D5 Commercial looks. Looks like keeping it for longer
I can see clean D4 commercials going up in value: not down
Back to work........"Track day running - Don't put your foot back on the accelerator until your absolutely sure you don't have to take it off again"
Current Ride: D4 XS Commercial Baltic Blue SDV6 fully loaded with heated everything
Track Days: BMW E36 M3 Evolution MY 1996 (3.2 Litre 377 BHP sat in 1,250 Kgs of car, with a pro safety cage and some serious braking power)
12th Jan 2016 12:53 pm
Familymad
Member Since: 23 Aug 2014
Location: Bucks
Posts: 43
Disco_Mikey wrote:
You say that. Starting to see some pretty ropey ones now...
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